US
US Treasury Yields
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 14
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Long-end rates (like the 10-year yield) are predicted to be driven higher instead of lower.
"And I think ultimately that's going to drive long-end rates like the 10-year higher instead of lower..."
Jan 27, 2026
Pending
The US government will need to offer interest rates higher than 4% on its $11 trillion in treasury auctions if demand is insufficient, potentially reaching 5% or 6%.
"So, the government's going to auction off 11 trillion of US treasuries, and they're going to hope th..."
Aug 29, 2025
Correct
If Section 899 applies to US Treasury bonds, their yield is predicted to fall by approximately 1%.
"If it did, the yield on treasuries would fall by around 1% making them unattractive to foreign inves..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
Chamath Polyhapatia predicts the 10-year US Treasury yield will exceed 5% by the end of 2025.
"by the end of this year, we're going to be past 5%."
May 25, 2025
Pending
Chamath Polyhapatia predicts the 30-year US Treasury yield will surpass 6.25%, potentially reaching 6.5% by the end of 2025.
"The 30 year is on a rate now to get past 6 and a quarter, maybe even reach 6 1/2%."
May 25, 2025
Pending
US Treasury yields exceeding 5% would represent very scary levels.
"if it goes above I don't know if it goes above 5% that's very very scary levels."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
If China dumps US treasuries, the 10-year Treasury yield will increase.
"if China continues to dump treasuries and sell it back into our markets, that will cause our 10-year..."
Apr 11, 2025
Pending
The Trump administration intends to reduce long-term US Treasury yields.
"The Trump Administration wants to lower the yields on long-term us treasuries."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
The 10-year Treasury yield is predicted to rise to 5% and surpass its October 2023 high.
"my point is that there there's a chance here that that the 10year yield goes back up to to five% and..."
Feb 13, 2025
Pending
The long-end of the yield curve (10-year yield) is predicted to top in Q1 2025.
"The long and the yeld Curve will Top in q1 of 2025"
Jan 11, 2025
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is predicted to top in Q1 2025.
"I wouldn't be that surprised to see the 10 year yield uh top in q1 of 2025"
Jan 9, 2025
Pending
The 10-year US Treasury yield is expected to continue rising for approximately two more months (into February/March 2025), based on a historical pattern of a three-month rally after bouncing off its 21-week EMA.
"the tenure yield then topped about three months later... we've already seen it go on for about a mon..."
Dec 31, 2024
Pending
The long end of the yield curve is likely to top by the end of 2024 or early January 2025 at the latest.
"likely see the long and the yo curve top by the end of the year or early January at the latest"
Oct 23, 2024
Pending
The long end of the yield curve will continue to rise until new data suggests otherwise.
"there's only one direction for the long and of the old curve to go until you start to get more data ..."
Oct 23, 2024
Pending
US Treasury Yields are predicted not to break out through resistance levels.
"I don't think this is going to break out through the resistance"
Jul 1, 2024
Pending